
The dollar sold off against the euro and pound after the Fed held rates at 2.25-2.50% and dropped its reference to further gradual rate increases, signaling patience. EUR/USD traded near 1.15 and GBP/USD near 1.31.
A weaker dollar after the Fed's dovish turn tends to support dollar-priced commodities and make US exports cheaper, a mildly bullish backdrop for grains and oilseeds.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish macro events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.