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The US dollar had its worst week since 2016 after the Federal Reserve cut rates by an emergency 50 basis points, sending Treasury yields sharply lower. Markets saw a record global bond rally and the euro rose to an eight-month high against the dollar as coronavirus recession fears grew.
A weaker dollar and emergency Fed easing tend to support dollar-denominated commodity prices, while recession fears weigh on energy and industrial demand; the net effect on feed markets is mixed but the dollar move is significant.
thearmchairtrader.comStuart FieldhouseMar 9, 2020After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
