
The US dollar traded near three-week lows on August 31 against a basket of currencies, with the euro hitting a three-week high and sterling a two-week high. Investors were focused on US jobs data for clues on the timing of stimulus tapering, and euro zone inflation had reached a 10-year high.
A softer dollar and stronger euro generally support dollar-priced commodities, since weaker US currency makes exports cheaper for European and other foreign buyers. Upcoming payrolls data could shift this trend.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.