
The US dollar hovered just above a two-year low on July 29 and was headed for its worst month in nine years. Gold steadied near $1,960 an ounce, and investors awaited a US$1 trillion fiscal package stalled in Congress ahead of the Fed decision.
A weakening dollar supports dollar-priced commodities and raises export competitiveness for US goods, while the stalled fiscal package adds uncertainty to demand expectations.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.