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Goldman Sachs sees the euro rising to $1.25 over the next 12 months, with the common currency gaining strength as a challenger to the dollar. The Federal Reserve's inflation shift and the U.S. election race are weighing on the dollar.
A weaker dollar lifts USD-priced commodities and can support US export competitiveness shifts; for feed buyers, a firmer euro modestly supports prices for dollar-denominated grains and meal in the short run.
bloomberg.comWilliam Shaw, Vassilis KaramanisAug 28, 2020After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
