Dollar weaker after data burst, euro rises on ECB comments

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Oct 28, 2021Dollar index drops on euro rise after ECB comments+0.6%
• Mar 16, 2023Euro rises, dollar falls after ECB rate decision-1.2%
• Mar 7, 2025US dollar sags after weaker-than-expected jobs data, Fed's Powell comments-0.1%
• Jul 30, 2026Gold rises on weaker U.S. dollar, soft inflation data-1.2%
• Jul 20, 2018Dollar sees biggest one-day drop in 3 weeks after Trump comments-0.9%

After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Oct 28, 2021Dollar index drops on euro rise after ECB comments-0.1%
• Mar 16, 2023Euro rises, dollar falls after ECB rate decision+2.4%
• Mar 7, 2025US dollar sags after weaker-than-expected jobs data, Fed's Powell comments+0.4%
• Jan 26, 2018Top European officials are slamming Mnuchin's comments on a weaker dollar-0.0%
• Oct 31, 2019Euro rises as dollar weakens on questions about more Fed rate cuts-0.4%