
ECB executive board member Benoit Coeure criticized recent US statements on the dollar at Davos, saying exchange rate discussions belong in multilateral bodies. His remarks followed Treasury Secretary Mnuchin saying a weaker dollar benefits the US, which pushed the dollar to a three-year low against the euro.
A weaker dollar lifts dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices for foreign buyers' currencies and tends to support US commodity prices, while a stronger euro can weigh on EU export competitiveness and feed demand sentiment.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.