
The dollar hit a three-year low against peers after Mnuchin told Davos that a weaker dollar is good for trade. The euro rose to about $1.2425, its strongest since December 2014, and the yen also strengthened ahead of the ECB decision.
A sharp dollar decline lifts dollar-priced commodities like soybeans and corn for non-US buyers, supporting export-linked price levels.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.