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The Thai 5% broken white rice benchmark rose 20% in a single month, the sharpest climb since 2008. The rise is attributed to higher diesel and fertilizer costs and preemptive buying ahead of a forecast El Nino.
Higher energy and fertilizer costs plus El Nino fears lift rice prices and raise feed and food input costs across Asia, though ample stockpiles limit the rally.
factlen.comKabir MehraJul 17, 2026After 43 past macro events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -2.0% to +2.3%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
