
Global equities closed higher on August 12, with the S&P 500 near a record high. US and European government bonds sold off for a second day, and crude oil rose 2.5% to $42.67 per barrel.
Gold closed slightly higher at $1,949 per ounce, and US CPI rose 0.6% in July with energy up 2.5%.
Higher energy prices and a rebound in crude raise input and freight costs for feed producers, while broader macro moves affect currencies and commodity financing.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.