
ING analysts said markets priced the first full 25 basis point Fed cut at the June 10 meeting. They noted the Fed was in no hurry to act but might move in March if US equities fell sharply.
DXY support was seen near 99.
Expected timing of Fed easing drives dollar direction, which affects dollar-denominated grain and oilseed pricing. A sharp equity sell-off that prompts an early cut would be a short-term dollar negative.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.