Loading…
The Fed raised its benchmark rate by a quarter point as Chair Janet Yellen reaffirmed expectations for 2% inflation by 2018. May US retail sales came in below expectations, and oil plunged nearly 4% to US$44.68 per barrel.
Softer retail sales and weak inflation tempers the case for further tightening, while a sharp crude decline lowers energy and biofuel-linked price support for feed commodities.
nextinvestors.comJun 15, 2017After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
