Global equities slid and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 1% for the first time after the Federal Reserve cut its funds rate by 50 basis points to a 1.00% to 1.25% target range. Gold surged and the dollar sank as investors sought safe havens, and oil pared its initial gains.
The lower dollar and rate cut reduce financing costs and support dollar-priced commodities, while the flight to safety and oil's reversal signal weaker expected global demand.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.