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Oil prices have fallen more than 25% since early October 2018 amid signs that global growth is fading. China reported its slowest growth in a decade, and Germany and Japan contracted in the third quarter.
Rising supply, including from US sanctions relief on Iran, has added to the downward pressure.
Slowing global growth and trade tensions reduce oil demand, while ample supply keeps prices under pressure. Weaker energy prices also lower input costs for biofuels and transport in feed supply chains.
npr.orgJohn YdstieNov 21, 2018After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fading global growth and rising supply including Iran sanctions relief provide macro backdrop of weaker demand and more supply.
