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The U.S. dollar was range-bound on August 18 as markets priced a likely Fed hold after softer data, including a surprise July jobs decline. Thirty-year Treasury yields surged to 5.3%, their highest since 2007.
Expectations of a Fed hold weigh on the dollar and support commodity prices, but the range-bound move gives little direct price signal for feed.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.