
The dollar edged lower as traders awaited a batch of US releases including the first look at Q2 GDP and June inflation, after a split Fed decision. EUR/USD was near 1.1477, GBP/USD near 1.3388 and USD/JPY eased to 162.80 ahead of a BoJ statement.
Pre-data positioning in major currency pairs can shift the dollar, which in turn affects dollar-denominated commodity prices. The move is small and driven mainly by the upcoming data.
After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.