Euro and U.S. dollar waffle as markets weigh ECB policy talk

After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Sep 27, 2018Markets on horns of euro-dollar dilemma-2.0%
• Aug 17, 2021There’s a non-pandemic catalyst set to drive the dollar, pound and euro for the rest of 2021 - MarketWatch-0.4%
• Sep 11, 2020Euro firms as ECB policymakers calm worries; Norwegian crown shoots up - Markets - Business Recorder-0.5%
• Feb 8, 2022Dollar, euro trade sideways after ECB pushback-1.1%
• Jul 24, 2025TEXT-Statement from the ECB following policy meeting | MarketScreener-2.4%

After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Mar 19, 2021Dollar pauses as traders weigh Fed's dovish stance - Markets - Business Recorder+1.1%
• Sep 22, 2019Markets swing on trade and monetary policy+0.5%
• Sep 27, 2018Markets on horns of euro-dollar dilemma+0.4%
• May 30, 2025Could the euro topple the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency?-0.5%
• Jul 30, 2026Dollar Slips As Markets Wait For US Data Drops - Finimize-1.2%