
The dollar strengthened toward a two-week high as oil prices pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 5.03%, the highest since 2007. Oil was near $107 a barrel after new Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and postponed Gulf-Iran talks, and a Fed hike was seen as nearly certain.
Higher oil raises fuel, fertilizer and freight costs that feed into feed prices. A stronger dollar makes US grains and meals more expensive for overseas buyers, which can cap export demand.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.