Dollar poised for best month in nearly a year; eyes on jobs data, Gulf tension

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jan 28, 2022Dollar poised for biggest weekly rise in 7 months on rate bets-0.9%
• Sep 29, 2023Dollar on track for best quarter in a year+1.1%
• Jul 31, 2025Yen rises after BOJ decision; dollar eyes first monthly gain this year — TradingView News-0.7%
• Jun 18, 2026Pound slides to two-month low as dollar jumps and BoE holds rates | MarketScreener+1.4%
• Dec 13, 2024Dollar set for best week in a month on cautious Fed outlook for 2025+1.3%

After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.

• Sep 15, 2026Dollar inches higher as 10-year Treasury yield climbs to highest since 2007 | MarketScreener UK-5.4%
• Oct 29, 2021C$ falls on GDP miss; posts biggest monthly gain in nearly a year | Financial Post-4.8%
• May 7, 2018Dollar marches to 4-month high as oil rally points to higher inflation - MarketWatch+1.4%
• Jun 29, 2024Commodity markets to focus on US Jobs data, comments from Fed chair for clearer insights on policy outlook next week+1.0%
• Mar 24, 2026Gold loses over 1% as dollar firms, Fed cut hopes fade | MarketScreener UAE Emirates+17.0%