
India's non-basmati rice exports are expected to slow as a rupee rally of over 6.5% in 2017 and higher local paddy prices make Indian rice uncompetitive. Indian 5% broken parboiled was offered around $410 a tonne against Thai at $390-392 and Vietnamese at $400-405.
Higher Indian export prices shift demand toward Vietnamese and Thai rice, supporting those origins while easing pressure on Indian export values.
After 43 past macro events, RICE moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -2.0% to +2.3%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.