
Asian spot LNG prices have surged from below $2/mmBtu to above $34/mmBtu. European gas storage is at low levels, adding to global competition for cargoes.
The explainer covers the risks ahead for winter supply.
Extreme gas prices raise nitrogen fertilizer production costs and push up energy costs for feed processors. Tight global LNG supply keeps natural gas prices elevated.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.