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Rabobank analysis says urea, phosphate and potash prices in Australian dollar terms rose strongly over the past year, with urea up 18.3% year-on-year. The Australian dollar has fallen about 8% over five months, and natural gas feedstock volatility is adding to urea supply pressure.
Currency weakness and gas-linked feedstock costs are keeping fertiliser prices high for importers, limiting downside. Feed producers face higher input costs for crops.
theland.com.auPaul Joules, RabobankFeb 27, 2025After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 28 past bullish macro events, DAP moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
