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Rabobank analysis links higher Australian fertilizer prices to a roughly 8% fall in the Australian dollar over five months. Urea rose 18.3% year on year in AUD terms, with phosphate and potash up 9.8% and 10%.
Natural gas volatility in Europe, the US and Asia is cited as a continuing driver for nitrogen prices.
Currency weakness and volatile natural gas feedstock keep nitrogen costs high for importers. Expected further AUD weakness limits downside for fertilizer prices in Australia.
sfs.org.auMar 2, 2025After 92 past bullish macro events, UREA moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
