
Gas shortages in Europe and Asia have pushed up prices and export volumes for US natural gas. US gas production has recovered slowly from its mid-2020 low, so supply is not keeping pace.
Higher gas costs have led power generators to switch toward coal.
Stronger US gas prices raise costs for nitrogen fertilizer and ethanol production, which feeds into corn and feed ingredient prices. Coal's relative price advantage also shifts power-sector fuel demand.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.