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CF Industries warned that a nitrogen fertilizer shortage driven by soaring natural gas prices could reduce global crop yields next year. European gas prices have jumped on strong demand and below-average storage ahead of winter, causing some producers to cut output.
Reduced nitrogen availability raises expected fertilizer costs and threatens yields in 2022, a bullish signal for grain and oilseed prices over the medium term.
reuters.comRod NickelNov 4, 2021After 92 past bullish macro events, UREA moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, NATGAS moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
