Six months after disruptions to Strait of Hormuz traffic raised fears of fuel and other critical-product shortages, many of the worst shortages did not materialize. Countries adapted by drawing down inventories, rerouting supplies, releasing emergency stocks, cutting consumption and paying more to maintain supply flows; India had initially faced a physical shortage of imported LPG.
Inventory drawdowns and longer, costlier routes helped preserve supply, but depleted buffers and higher transport costs leave energy and fertilizer supply chains vulnerable to renewed disruption. The article does not identify a specific feed commodity price move.
After 235 past geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.2% to +3.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 126 past geopolitics events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.