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The Fertilizer Institute warned of an emerging sulfur shortage after the Strait of Hormuz blockade removed most commercial sulfur flows. Russia extended its sulfur export ban through end-2026, removing two of the three largest sulfur sources.
Four Mosaic plants have already cut output, and DAP in Illinois reached $912.22/t.
Losing two of the three top sulfur suppliers tightens sulfuric acid supply for phosphate producers worldwide, supporting higher DAP prices into the fall application and Indian import seasons.
fertilizerdaily.comKim ClarksenAug 18, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
