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OCP Group executives say the Strait of Hormuz crisis has evolved from a raw-material problem into a broad fertilizer supply shock. Phosphate producers face reduced sulphur imports and limited ability to export finished cargoes.
About 50% of seaborne sulphur and 24% of traded ammonia normally transit the strait.
Constrained sulphur and ammonia supply limits phosphate output and export flows, which supports higher DAP and TSP prices. Importers should expect continued tightness.
fertilizerdaily.comKim ClarksenMay 28, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
