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A fertilizer shortage linked to the Ukraine war is pushing up fertilizer prices. Russia and Belarus supplied about 40% of world potash exports, and sanctions plus a Belarus force majeure declaration have disrupted shipments.
CF Industries' CEO said global fertilizer supplies are very tight.
Higher and scarcer fertilizer may cut application rates or crop rotations, tightening future grain and oilseed supplies and supporting crop prices.
cnbc.comPatti DommApr 6, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
