
Wheat futures plunged on Feb. 25, 2022 after Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent prices to multi-year highs the previous day.
Corn and soybeans also fell on profit-taking, with May soybeans down 69 1/2 cents and May soymeal and soyoil lower.
The war-driven rally faded as traders took profits, pulling corn and soybean complex prices lower. Analysts expected the Russia-Ukraine conflict to remain the main market focus, with limited direct impact on soybeans beyond soyoil and vegetable oils.
After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 53 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 17 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.