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Soybean futures fell to six-month lows on July 21, with November soybeans down 30.75 cents to $13.01 1/2. December corn dropped 16.5 cents to $5.73 1/2, and wheat contracts fell about 10 to 13 cents after reports that Russia agreed to allow Ukrainian grain exports through the Black Sea.
Crude oil also fell sharply, pressuring the soy complex.
Resumed Ukrainian grain exports through the Black Sea would raise global wheat and corn supply and ease prices. Forecast Midwest rain reduces crop stress, and lower crude oil weakens soyoil and soymeal values.
profarmer.comPro Farmer EditorsJul 21, 2022After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 53 past bearish geopolitics events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 16 past bearish geopolitics events, KWHEAT moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -4.3% to -1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On July 21 wheat fell 10-13 cents after reports Russia agreed to allow Ukrainian grain exports, with crude weakness adding pressure.
Soybeans hit six-month lows on July 21, so the subsequent rebound began from a depressed base, which amplifies the percentage move.
