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Wheat futures tumbled after Russia said it would resume participation in the UkraineBlack Sea grain export deal, four days after suspending it. December SRW wheat fell 56.5 cents to $8.46 and December HRW wheat dropped nearly 50 cents.
Corn followed wheat lower, while soybeans rose to a six-week high on crude oil and vegetable oil strength.
Restored Black Sea export flows ease global wheat supply concerns, pressuring wheat and corn prices. Soybean oil strength from energy and vegoil markets supports crush economics.
profarmer.comPro Farmer EditorsNov 2, 2022profarmer.comPro Farmer EditorsNov 3, 2022After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 53 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
