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SRW wheat futures fell to three-month lows and corn and soybeans also declined amid unprecedented Covid protests in China. Crude oil dropped under $74 to an 11-month low, and USDA reported a sale of 110,000 MT of soybeans to unknown destinations.
Civil unrest in China clouds demand outlook for grains and oilseeds, while weaker crude reduces support for corn and ethanol-linked values. Prices face bearish pressure heading into trade.
profarmer.comPro Farmer EditorsNov 28, 2022After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 53 past bearish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Pro Farmer's preview of the 11/28 session shows corn declining alongside wheat at three-month lows and crude oil at an 11-month low amid the China protests, adding sentiment and energy-linked selling pressure.
