Chicago soft red winter wheat futures fell about 15 cents to near $6.28 a bushel, a 14-week low, as Black Sea peace hopes eased supply concerns. US futures were down roughly 6.5% to 6.8%, about 21% below the early-September three-year high.
Lower wheat prices reduce the cost of wheat used in feed rations and put downward pressure on feed grain values.
After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, WHEAT moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 16 past bearish geopolitics events, KWHEAT moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (13% higher; middle half -4.3% to -1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.