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Corn, soybeans and wheat all rose on May 5, 2023, as concerns grew that Russia might not renew the Black Sea shipping deal set to expire later in the month. Corn firmed about 1%, while soybeans and wheat gained double digits by the close.
Wet weather was forecast for the central US over the weekend.
Risk to Black Sea shipping supports grain prices, and forecast US rain may add to the upside for corn and soybeans. Buyers should expect firm feed grain prices until the deal's status is clear.
feedstuffs.comBen PotterMay 5, 2023After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
