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OPEC's decision to cut member production lifted crude oil prices sharply, up 16% for the week, with benefits expected for Australian canola. Soybean futures rose on concerns about dry conditions in Argentina, and a USDA sale of 426,000 tonnes of US soybeans to China was reported.
Palm oil prices rose to four-year highs, while Australian canola prices dipped as new-season supplies arrived.
Higher crude oil supports vegetable oil and biodiesel economics, lifting oilseed values, while Argentine dryness and Chinese purchases add upside risk to soybean meal and oil prices.
farmonline.com.auGregor HeardDec 6, 2016After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
