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The WSJ reports that Russia's invasion of Ukraine has caused a global shortage of sunflower oil. That shortage has pushed prices of other edible oils to record highs, hitting food makers and consumers already facing inflation.
Sunflower oil is a major edible oil, and substitution into palm and soybean oil is driving those benchmarks higher. Higher vegetable oil prices raise costs for feed fats and processors, and the squeeze is likely to persist while Ukrainian supply stays constrained.
wsj.comSaabira ChaudhuriApr 6, 2022After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Global sunflower oil shortage from the Ukraine war pushed other edible oils, including soyoil, to record highs via substitution demand.
