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The Malaysian Palm Oil Council published an overview of how Russia's attack on Ukraine affects agricultural markets, with a focus on oils and fats. It cites USDA data that Ukraine is a leading oilseed and grain exporter with more than 55% of land arable.
The piece is largely background on the disruption.
Loss of Ukrainian and Russian sunflower oil supply supports demand for palm and soy oils, which tightens global fats and oils and feeds into feed-ingredient costs.
mpoc.org.myApr 25, 2022After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
