The impact of the Ukraine crisis on the global vegetable oil market

After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Apr 14, 2022Russian-Ukrainian Unrest Impacts Global Oilseed Market | Crush+2.7%
• Feb 28, 2022Impact Of Russia-Ukraine War On Amino Acid Market-reachever.com+4.7%
• Apr 25, 2022Ukraine, war, and global oils & fats markets – MPOC+1.6%
• Feb 23, 2022Palm oil futures hit all-time high on bullish global energy, vegetable oil markets+3.8%
• Oct 1, 2026Global vegetable oil prices seen rising on tighter supply, says analyst Mielke - Markets - Business Recorder+2.3%

After 62 past bullish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median +2.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.1% to +5.8%), and +4.0% over 20.

• Apr 14, 2022Russian-Ukrainian Unrest Impacts Global Oilseed Market | Crush+2.7%
• Apr 25, 2022Ukraine, war, and global oils & fats markets – MPOC+1.2%
• Feb 23, 2022Palm oil futures hit all-time high on bullish global energy, vegetable oil markets+15.0%
• Oct 1, 2026Global vegetable oil prices seen rising on tighter supply, says analyst Mielke - Markets - Business Recorder-0.4%
• Mar 11, 2022Overcoming the threats to global food systems from Russia's invasion of Ukraine | IFPRI-5.3%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.