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USDA's January WASDE was bearish for corn, soybeans and wheat versus pre-report expectations, with production and stocks above analyst estimates for all three. Corn production was raised 269 million bushels to a record 17.021 billion, and the report showed looser balance sheets as South American output grows.
Looser US balance sheets and rising Brazilian and Argentine supplies increase export competition, pressuring prices for corn, soybeans and wheat.
cihedging.comJan 12, 2026After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, KWHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
