
Nearby corn futures fell 23 cents per bushel, soybeans fell 15 cents and wheat dropped about 5 cents after USDA's January WASDE. USDA pegged harvested corn area at 91.3 million acres, a 1.3 million acre increase, and forecast record production of 17 billion bushels with ending stocks at 2.23 billion bushels.
The corn area and yield increase boosts supply well beyond demand growth, leaving the highest stocks in seven years and pressuring feed grain prices.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.