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The November WASDE surprised the trade with a US corn yield of 174.9 bushels per acre, up from 173 in October. USDA raised 2023-24 ending stocks to 2.156 billion bushels, the highest in seven years, and cut its average farm price forecast to $4.85 per bushel.
The higher yield and seven-year-high stocks point to ample corn supplies and lower farm prices, which favors cheaper feed grain for buyers. Brazil's unchanged production estimate despite weather stress leaves some upside risk that could limit the downside.
producer.comSean PrattNov 9, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
