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CIH viewed the March WASDE as relatively neutral for corn, soybeans and wheat because balance sheets matched expectations. USDA lowered the 2023/24 corn season-average farm price to $4.75 per bushel and trimmed global corn ending stocks to 319.63 million tonnes, the highest since 2018/19.
Neutral domestic balance sheets and record Brazil and Argentina corn output keep feed grain prices capped, with attention shifting to the March 28 Prospective Plantings report.
cihedging.comMar 8, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
