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Soybean oil futures fell sharply on June 14, 2021, after a record run, as traders reacted to reports that the Biden administration was discussing possible relaxation of Renewable Fuels Standard mandates for refiners. Corn and soybeans also fell on rains forecast for dry parts of the Midwest.
The RFS changes were not confirmed.
Possible cuts to biofuel blending mandates would reduce demand for soybean oil as biodiesel feedstock, pressuring soy oil and the soy complex. Weather-driven rain forecasts added to the downside for corn and soybeans.
farmprogress.comBryce KnorrJun 15, 2021After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soyoil dropped sharply on June 14 after reports the Biden administration was discussing relaxing RFS mandates, a sentiment and demand shock after a record run.
