China announced auctions of about 3.8 million tonnes of state reserve soybeans and about 300,000 tonnes of soyoil. Chinese CFR soybean prices passed $700 per tonne for the first time since 2018, while soymeal stocks are near a five-year low.
State reserve releases may ease Chinese soybean and soyoil tightness, but tight soymeal stocks and high import costs keep feed input prices firm for hog producers.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.