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BMD palm oil and CBOT soybean oil are holding a tight price spread amid Indonesian supply shifts and strong Chinese soybean buying. USDA reported 132,000 tons of soybean sales to China and 2.6 MMT of weekly export sales.
The September soyoil contract rose to 43.14 cents per pound from 41.7 cents on August 26.
Robust Chinese purchases and crop-size uncertainty underpin soybean and soyoil prices, and the tight palm-soyoil spread links the two markets. Higher soyoil supports palm oil.
vespertool.comGehrman KosenkovSep 3, 2024After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rising CBOT soyoil with a tight palm-soyoil spread and strong Chinese soybean buying lifted the broader vegetable oil complex, supporting palm.
