
Indonesian palm oil producers are cutting their stockpiles, which ballooned to 6.69 million tonnes by end-June, through discounted sales to India ahead of Diwali festival demand. India's palm imports from Indonesia are expected to reach 2 million tonnes between August and November, triple the April-July pace.
Strong Indian buying supports palm oil futures and threatens to undercut imports of soyoil and sunoil. Indonesian stock reduction eases a key source of bearish pressure on the global palm market.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.