
Palm oil closed at its lowest since late March, down 1.8% in Kuala Lumpur. Malaysian April exports fell 14% to 18% from March depending on the surveyor, with sales to India down 32% and to China about 20%.
Weaker Malaysian shipments signal softer demand and rising stocks, and a drop in soyoil adds further downward pressure on palm prices.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm closed at a one-month low on May 1 as April Malaysian exports fell sharply (India down 32%, China about 20%), a direct demand signal on the move date.
Palm oil hit a one-month low on May 1 on weak Malaysian exports, a same-day bearish vegoil signal that likely dragged on soybean oil.