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Malaysian palm oil futures fell 5.82% to 3,205 ringgit per tonne on May 31, 2023, a new low for the year and lowest since November 2020. Malaysia's May exports fell 0.8% from April according to Intertek, while AmSpec reported a 1.8% decline.
Indonesia set its June 1-15 CPO reference price at $811.68 per tonne, lowering its export tax.
Weaker May export data and lower rival oilseed prices add bearish pressure on palm and soy oil, which compete for feed-fat demand. Lower Indonesian export taxes slightly support export flows.
brecorder.comReutersMay 31, 2023After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Futures fell 5.82% to a multi-year low on May 31 on weaker rival oils and negative May export data, a demand and sentiment shock that is the main driver of the move ending June 1.
Palm futures hit a multi-year low on May 31 as rival oils weakened and May exports fell 0.8-1.8% (demand), directly describing the day's sell-off.
