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Malaysian palm oil futures for August delivery fell 7.8% to 3,378 ringgit a tonne, their lowest since February 5, extending losses to a sixth session. Indonesian exports fell more than 18% in April from the prior month, and CBOT soyoil dropped 3.4% to its lowest in nearly four months.
Washington was also reported to be considering relief for refiners from biofuel blending mandates.
Weaker Indonesian export flows reduce near-term palm demand, and the possibility of lower US biofuel blending mandates reduces soyoil demand. Both point to lower vegetable oil prices.
brecorder.comReutersJun 14, 2021After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On June 14 palm fell 7.8% to a 4-month low on weaker soyoil, sliding demand and reported US biofuel mandate relief, directly driving the 5-day decline.
CBOT soyoil fell to a near four-month low alongside palm on June 14, showing cross-market vegetable oil selling and biofuel mandate relief fears.
The 7.8% drop to a 4-month low on weaker soyoil and sliding demand is dated June 14, just after the window ends, but it reflects the same selloff and shows its drivers (soyoil, biofuel relief talk).
